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US Treasury Weakness Warns of Prolonged Weakness… "Interest Rates May Go Above 8%"

The US sovereign bond market has already entered a long-term bear market, and it has been diagnosed that rising interest rates can put pressure on the housing market, consumption, and government finances at the same…

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What happened

The US sovereign bond market has already entered a long-term bear market, and it has been diagnosed that rising interest rates can put pressure on the housing market, consumption, and government finances at the same time. Critics have also argued that it is difficult to trust government statistics and the Fed’s judgment as it is. “Bonds are in a bear market,” said macroeconomic analyst Peter Siff in an interview with Wolf of All Streets on Oct. 11 (local time), adding that the U.S. economy had ended its leanings toward a downturn in interest rate conditions. Sif pointed out that it is difficult to trust the government’s employment and inflation indicators. “There’s definitely a flaw in the way that the initial numbers are always higher than the final numbers,” he said, noting that employment metrics are often subsequently revised downwards. The Consumer Price Index has also been around for decades…

Reported details

No additional source details were retained.

Why this matters

US Treasury Weakness carries pricing or financing terms rather than a structural change on its face. If it sets out a yield, a spread or a financing cost, the figure worth having is the net one: after issuer fees, redemption friction, and the credit behind the collateral. A headline number without those deductions is not a return, and this brief does not treat it as one.

Evidence boundary

The scope is limited to what the linked reports state, and where two of them diverge both positions are recorded without either being picked in advance.

What to verify

Read US Treasury Weakness for any figure it actually states, net of issuer fees and redemption friction where those apply, alongside the credit standing of whatever collateral is named.

Sources and editorial check time

This information is educational and is not financial, legal, or tax advice.

Sources